Support for abortion is falling despite a decline in religious worshippers
ON A SUNDAY afternoon last year, Gloria (not her real name) got a knock on the door. It was a former neighbour who said he was passing through her remote Amazon village and wanted to catch up. He proceeded to drug and rape her. She did not go to the police because “they don’t investigate rape”. After discovering she was pregnant she took the morningafter pill, but it was too late. She bought misoprostol, an abortion drug, on the “dark web”, but was scammed. Eventually she found a charity that paid for a bus ticket to the nearest hospital providing abortions, 2,500km away. “It hurt, but I felt good,” she says. “If someone from where I live finds out, my God, it would be like having a sign on my face that says ‘prostitute’.”
In the past five years most big countries in Latin America have moved towards legalising abortion. Argentina led the way in 2021, allowing abortion until the 14th week of pregnancy. In 2022 Colombia followed suit. Mexico decriminalised abortion in 2023. Brazil is now a regional outlier. Abortion is permitted in theory if the mother’s life is at risk, if the pregnancy was the result of rape, or if the foetus has anencephaly, a fatal deformity.
In reality, as Gloria’s story shows, getting one can be all but impossible. Even the limited rights of Brazilian women exist in effect “on paper”, says Helena Paro, an obstetrician. Doctors who provide them, like Ms Paro, are often denounced to their local medical council by colleagues. Clandestine procedures are the norm.
There is little sign of change. Public support for abortion is in decline (see chart on next page). Politicians consider the subject radioactive, says Gabriela Rondon of the Anis Institute for Bioethics in Brasília, the capital. Ahead of a general election in October no one is willing to discuss Brazil’s abortion policies, or the harm they are doing to women in the country.
The case of one of the country’s largest abortion providers is emblematic. In 2023 the Vila Nova Cachoeirinha maternity hospital in São Paulo was ordered to stop offering abortions by city authorities. Two of its doctors had their licences suspended for “killing foetuses”. The city’s right-wing mayor alleged that the hospital had carried out illegal abortions. Yet the agency that regulates São Paulo’s medical centres had not received a single report of illegal abortions at the hospital, according to Agência Pública, an investigative outlet. It took two years to reopen the facility.
Many congressmen want to make abortion even harder to access. In 2024 a prominent evangelical deputy tabled a bill that would have equated abortion after 22 weeks with murder, with a penalty of up to 20 years in prison—higher than the maximum penalty for rape. The bill was being.
fast-tracked through Congress before protesters stalled it. It is often raped children who seek late-term abortions. Around 14,000 girls aged 14 or younger give birth every year in Brazil.
Research by Debora Diniz of the University of Brasília suggests that nearly 15% of women in Brazil have an abortion before turning 40, despite the barriers. The real rate is probably higher, she says, since she surveyed literate, urban women. Rich women tend to fly to Argentina for abortions, or pay private doctors for an illegal one. Poor women often turn to unregulated providers operating out of back-street clinics. This contributes to Brazil’s maternal mortality rate, which is higher than in any other large Latin American country.
Public support for abortion is declining even as religious affiliation wanes. The share of evangelical Christians in Brazil held steady at around 27% between 2014 and 2024. At the same time the share of “nones”—those who say they are atheist, agnostic or religiously unaffiliated—doubled to 15%, according to the Pew Research Centre, a think-tank based in Washington.
Yet the religious groups are better organised. In the decade to 2024 the evangelical caucus in Congress quadrupled, to include 210 of 513 representatives. Catholics, whose numbers have fallen dramatically in the past three decades, have copied the evangelicals’ tactics, and their Congressional caucus now has 199 members. The two denominational blocs, whose membership overlaps, often vote together on issues such as abortion and gay rights. Meanwhile the “nones” have no caucus. It does not help that only 17% of lower-house members are women, compared with 30% in Colombia and half in Mexico. “The difficulty of getting reproductive rights discussed is that women are under-represented in the halls of power,” says Ms Paro.
In Colombia, where public support for abortion is also weak, it was the Supreme Court that legalised the procedure. That path looks less likely than ever in Brazil. The standing of the Supreme Court has been plummeting thanks to corruption scandals and judicial overreach, making judges particularly worried about reprisals from Congress. A case to decriminalise abortion up to 12 weeks has been before the court since 2017. So far only two justices have ruled on it, both in favour. The others are yet to vote (Brazil’s highest court allows judges to rule separately) and there are no plans to hold a full hearing. There will probably be no more votes before the general election. Brazil’s small pro-choice movement is focusing on highlighting individual cases involving girls, as well as making it easier to access existing rights, such as in rape cases. One case before the Supreme Court could allow nurses to carry out abortions, instead of only doctors.
“The pro-life stance is easy,” says Ms Rondon. “Nobody asks you for proof of how many creches you built during your term, or how much support you are actually providing infants and mothers.” Her struggle will remain arduous for many years to come.